UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
1 - 0
Croatia

McGinn (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sucic (30'), Caleta-Car (41'), Kramaric (44')
Sucic (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Scotland 0-0 Portugal
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	4	4	10
2	Croatia	4	1	7
3	Poland	4	-2	4
4	Scotland	4	-3	1

Croatia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Poland 3-3 Croatia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	4	4	10
2	Croatia	4	1	7
3	Poland	4	-2	4
4	Scotland	4	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Croatia
23.71% ( -0.35)	24.48% ( -0.05)	51.81% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 52.08% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29% (

-0.12)

49.71% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28% (

-0.11)

71.72% (

0.11)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

-0.38)

35.56% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

-0.4)

72.33% (

0.4)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83% (

0.12)

19.17% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.16% (

0.19)

50.83% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Scotland 23.71%

Croatia 51.81%

Draw 24.48%

Scotland	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.71%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.81%