/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fscolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
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John McGinn
86'
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Petar Sucic
30'
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Duje Caleta-Car
41'
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Andrej Kramaric
44'
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Petar Sucic
44'
Scotland vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Scotland win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result
Scotland
23.71%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
24.48%
▼
(-0.05)
Croatia
51.81%
▲
(+0.41)
Both Teams to Score:
52.08%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.29%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
49.71%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
28.28%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
71.72%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
13.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
86.5%
▲
(+0.08)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5
64.44%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 0.5
35.56%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
27.67%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
72.33%
▲
(+0.41)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
80.83%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
19.17%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
49.16%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
50.83%
▼
(-0.19)
Score analysis
Scotland
23.71%
Draw
24.48%
Croatia
51.81%
Scotland
1-0
@
7.05%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.71%
2-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.71%
Draw
1-1
@
11.64%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 24.48%
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 24.48%
Croatia
0-1
@
11.26%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.81%
1-2 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 51.81%