/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fscolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
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Billy Gilmour
46'
-
Scott McTominay
76'
-
Sebastian Szymanski
8'
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Pawel Dawidowicz
35'
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Robert Lewandowski
44'
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Nicola Zalewski
52'
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Bartosz Slisz
84'
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Nicola Zalewski
90'+7'
Scotland vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Poland had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Poland win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result
Scotland
39.23%
▼
(-1.44)
Draw
27.03%
▲
(+0.19)
Poland
33.74%
▲
(+1.26)
Both Teams to Score:
50.57%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.31%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
54.69%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
23.99%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
76.01%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
10.72%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 4.5
89.28%
▲
(+0.24)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5
72.79%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 0.5
27.21%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 1.5
37.37%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 1.5
62.63%
▲
(+1.33)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
69.47%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 0.5
30.53%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 1.5
33.25%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
66.75%
▼
(-0.72)
Score analysis
Scotland
39.23%
Draw
27.02%
Poland
33.74%
Scotland
1-0
@
10.81%
▼
(-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.23%
2-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.29)
3-1 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.23%
Draw
1-1
@
12.82%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.02%
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.02%
Poland
0-1
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.34)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.74%
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.74%