European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
France1 - 1Poland
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Match Report
France miss out on top spot in Group D after being held to a 1-1 draw by Poland despite Kylian Mbappe opening his account at the European Championship.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between France and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how France could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 clash with Poland at the Westfalenstadion.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Austria
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Poland |
57.11% ( 0.31) | 22.88% ( -0.11) | 20.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
