European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Scotland0 - 1Hungary
Reaction
Steve Clarke says Scotland "100%" should have had a penalty in defeat to Hungary
Scotland manager Steve Clarke is left aghast after the Tartan Army were not awarded a penalty during their 1-0 defeat to Hungary at Euro 2024 on Sunday night.
Jun 23, 23:01
Hungary FA issue Barnabas Varga update after disturbing collision in Euro 2024 win
Hungary issue an update on the wellbeing of striker Barnabas Varga, who was carried off on a stretcher following a worrying collision with Scotland's Angus Gunn in Sunday's Euro 2024 win in Stuttgart.
Jun 23, 23:26
The Match
Match Report
Kevin Csoboth's last-gasp winner breaks Scottish hearts as Hungary snatch a 1-0 win to keep their Euro 2024 dreams alive, sending Steve Clarke's side home in the process.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between Scotland and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Scotland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with Hungary.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scotland 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, June 19 at 8pm in European Championship
Wednesday, June 19 at 8pm in European Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Hungary | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Hungary | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Hungary |
30.3% ( 0.58) | 24.25% ( -0.06) | 45.45% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
