Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.