Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.