Friendlies 1

Jun 4, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

swissporarena

Switzerland
4 - 0
Estonia

Zuber (20'), Amdouni (47'), Elvedi (63'), Shaqiri (70' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Poom (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Switzerland and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Switzerland
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Scotland	0	0	0
2	Germany	0	0	0
3	Hungary	0	0	0
4	Switzerland	0	0	0

Estonia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Finland 2-1 Estonia
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 3.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Estonia
86.38% ( 1.11)	10% ( -0.72)	3.61% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 34.73% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.9% (

1.43)

35.1% (

-1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.9% (

1.57)

57.1% (

-1.57)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.4% (

0.49)

5.59% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.28% (

1.39)

21.72% (

-1.39)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.79% (

-0.79)

63.21% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.79% (

-0.37)

92.2% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 86.36%

Estonia 3.61%

Draw 10%

Switzerland	Draw	Estonia
2-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.28) 5-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) 7-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 86.36%	1-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 10%	0-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.92% Total : 3.61%