Romania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
Switzerland national football team

Romania
1 - 0
Switzerland

Alibec (50')
Marin (2'), Morutan (48'), Akanji (90+3'), Bancu (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Xhaka (54'), Hagi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Romania
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I StandingsPGDPTS
1Romania91019
2Switzerland91217
3Israel9-212
4Kosovo9111
5Belarus9-69
6Andorra9-152
All competitions
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I StandingsPGDPTS
1Romania91019
2Switzerland91217
3Israel9-212
4Kosovo9111
5Belarus9-69
6Andorra9-152

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawSwitzerland
46.56% (-0.546 -0.55)24.16% (0.253 0.25)29.28% (0.292 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.08% (-0.685 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.89% (-0.99 -0.99)44.11% (0.98699999999999 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51% (-0.97 -0.97)66.49% (0.96899999999999 0.97)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.61499999999999 -0.61)19.1% (0.613 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (-1.023 -1.02)50.71% (1.022 1.02)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.3 -0.3)28.21% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.381 -0.38)63.91% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Romania 46.56%
    Switzerland 29.28%
    Draw 24.15%
RomaniaDrawSwitzerland
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Romania vs Switzerland

Romania
46.8%
Draw
28.6%
Switzerland
24.6%
126
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
2-2
Romania
Amdouni (28', 41')
Fernandes (23'), Akanji (40'), Steffen (90+8')
Mihaila (89', 90+2')
Hagi (26'), Sorescu (45+1'), Morutan (90+4')
Jun 15, 2016 5pm
Group Stage
Romania
1-1
Switzerland
Stancu (18' pen.)
Prepelita (22'), Chipciu (24'), Keseru (37'), Grigore (76')
Mehmedi (57')
Xhaka (50'), Embolo (94')