Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
1 - 0
Switzerland

Alibec (50')
Marin (2'), Morutan (48'), Akanji (90+3'), Bancu (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Xhaka (54'), Hagi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-2 Romania
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Switzerland
46.56% ( -0.55)	24.16% ( 0.25)	29.28% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.89% (

-0.99)

44.11% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.51% (

-0.97)

66.49% (

0.97)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-0.61)

19.1% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

-1.02)

50.71% (

1.02)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

-0.3)

28.21% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

-0.38)

63.91% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Romania 46.56%

Switzerland 29.28%

Draw 24.15%

Romania	Draw	Switzerland
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.28%