Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.