European Championship
Jun 19, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Jamal Musiala 22' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 27' yellowcard
  • Ilkay Gundogan 67' goal
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barnabas Varga 22'
  • yellowcard Marco Rossi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+3'

Germany vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 14, 2024 8.00pm
Germany 5 - 1 Scotland

Hungary

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 15, 2024 2.00pm
Hungary 1 - 3 Switzerland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Germany 48.18% (-0.02)
Draw 24.02% (+0.01)
Hungary 27.8% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.48% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.58% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.43% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.21% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.8% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.06% (+0.01)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 81.44% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.56% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.18% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.82% (+0.02)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 70.57% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.58% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.43% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Germany 48.18%
Draw 24.02%
Hungary 27.8%
Germany
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 48.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.02%
Hungary
1-2 @ 6.88% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 27.8%

Head to Head

Nations League
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Adam Szalai 17'
Nations League
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Zsolt Nagy 6' goal
  • Roland Sallai 17' yellowcard
  • Peter Gulacsi 86' yellowcard
  • Martin Adam 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jonas Hofmann 9'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 36'
European Championship
Jun 23, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ilkay Gundogan 29' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 61' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 66' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 84' goal
  • goal Adam Szalai 11'
  • yellowcard Endre Botka 28'
  • yellowcard Adam Szalai 64'
  • yellowcard Attila Fiola 66'
  • goal Andras Schafer 68'
International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2016 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Toni Kroos 36' yellowcard
  • Adam Lang 39' goal
  • Thomas Muller 63' goal
  • yellowcard Laszlo Kleinheisler 42'
  • yellowcard Zoltan Gera 91'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups