Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.