Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.