/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
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Diogo Dalot
7'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
34'
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Diogo Dalot
41'
(OG)
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Luka Modric
72'
Portugal vs Croatia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Froberto-martinez-portugal.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Portugal Goals
Croatia Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.25)
3-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.25)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.63%
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.31)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.28)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.76%
