Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (4.44%).