Friendlies 1

Jun 4, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
2 - 1
Armenia

Mlakar (11'), Ilicic (63')
Horvat (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haroyan (56')
Haroyan (53'), Spertsyan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Slovenia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 Portugal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Denmark	0	0	0
3	Serbia	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Armenia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Armenia
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Armenia
65.28% ( -1.7)	20.92% ( 0.83)	13.79% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 45.46% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-1.56)

49.43% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-1.42)

71.47% (

1.41)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.63% (

-1.01)

14.37% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.75% (

-1.98)

42.24% (

1.98)

Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.09% (

0.39)

46.9% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.58% (

0.29)

82.41% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 65.27%

Armenia 13.79%

Draw 20.92%

Slovenia	Draw	Armenia
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.27%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.92%	0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.79%