/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fslolog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farmlog.png)
-
Jan Mlakar
11'
-
Tomi Horvat
41'
-
Josip Ilicic
63'
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Varazdat Haroyan
53'
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Varazdat Haroyan
56'
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Eduard Spertsyan
64'
Slovenia vs Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Fslovenia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
Result
Slovenia
65.28%
▼
(-1.70)
Draw
20.92%
▲
(+0.83)
Armenia
13.79%
▲
(+0.87)
Both Teams to Score:
45.46%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.56%
▼
(-1.56)
Under 2.5
49.43%
▲
(+1.56)
Over 3.5
28.52%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 3.5
71.47%
▲
(+1.42)
Over 4.5
13.66%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 4.5
86.33%
▲
(+0.97)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5
85.63%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 0.5
14.37%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 1.5
57.75%
▼
(-1.99)
Under 1.5
42.24%
▲
(+1.98)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5
53.09%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
46.9%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 1.5
17.58%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
82.41%
▼
(-0.30)
Score analysis
Slovenia
65.27%
Draw
20.92%
Armenia
13.79%
Slovenia
1-0
@
13.07%
▲
(+0.35)
2-0 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.39)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.35)
4-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.20)
5-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 65.27%
2-0 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.39)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.35)
4-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.20)
5-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 65.27%
Draw
1-1
@
9.9%
▲
(+0.38)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.92%
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.92%
Armenia
0-1
@
5.1%
▲
(+0.37)
1-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 13.79%
1-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 13.79%