Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Croatia national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2024 at 2pm UK
Volksparkstadion
Albania national football team

Croatia
2 - 2
Albania

Kramaric (74'), Gjasula (76' og.)
Ivusic (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Laci (11'), Gjasula (90+5')
Hysaj (77'), Daku (90+4'), Gjasula (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Klaus Gjasula scores at both ends of the pitch as Albania earn a dramatic 2-2 draw with Croatia at Euro 2024.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Championship clash between Croatia and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Albania could line up for Wednesday's Euro 2024 clash with Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Croatia
Saturday, June 15 at 5pm in European Championship

Albania

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Albania
Saturday, June 15 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawAlbania
52.76% (0.64700000000001 0.65)25.35% (0.013999999999999 0.01)21.88% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.816 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (-0.67 -0.67)54.85% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (-0.556 -0.56)76.15% (0.56 0.56)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)53.47% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (-1.028 -1.03)40.18% (1.032 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (-0.952 -0.95)76.82% (0.956 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 52.76%
    Albania 21.88%
    Draw 25.35%
CroatiaDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 13.12% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 10.3% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.76%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Croatia vs Albania

Croatia
79.1%
Draw
10.2%
Albania
10.6%
762