Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2024 at 6pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
1 - 0
Albania

Nilsson (62')
Kulusevski (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitaj (51'), Djimsiti (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Sweden and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Sweden
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Albania

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Albania 0-3 Chile
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	8	8	15
2	Czech Republic	8	6	15
3	Poland	8	0	11
4	Moldova	8	-3	10
5	Faroe Islands	8	-11	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Albania had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sweden in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Albania
61.99% ( 2.2)	22.81% ( -0.91)	15.19% ( -1.29)

Both teams to score 43.39% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

1.3)

54.12% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45% (

1.08)

75.54% (

-1.08)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

1.26)

17.03% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

2.18)

47.18% (

-2.19)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3% (

-0.98)

47.7% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99% (

-0.73)

83.01% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Sweden 61.98%

Albania 15.19%

Draw 22.81%

Sweden	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 61.98%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.81%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.19%