Friendlies 2

Jun 7, 2024 at 6pm UK

Air Albania Stadium

Albania
3 - 1
Azerbaijan

Bajrami (12'), Manaj (81'), Laci (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gurbanli (90')
Mustafaev (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Albania and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Albania 3-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 3 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	0	0	0
2	Spain	0	0	0
3	Croatia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Azerbaijan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-1 Bulgaria
Monday, March 25 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 8.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
Albania	Draw	Azerbaijan
75.96% ( 3.07)	15.59% ( -1.61)	8.44% ( -1.47)

Both teams to score 44.49% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.52% (

2.66)

40.48% (

-2.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14% (

2.68)

62.86% (

-2.68)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.03% (

1.42)

8.96% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.42% (

3.33)

30.57% (

-3.34)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.87% (

-1.42)

51.12% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.57% (

-0.97)

85.42% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Albania 75.94%

Azerbaijan 8.44%

Draw 15.59%

Albania	Draw	Azerbaijan
2-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.64) 3-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.72) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.81) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.38) 5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.59% Total : 75.94%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.76) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.59%	0-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.85% Total : 8.44%