Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Bulgaria national football team

Azerbaijan
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Gurbanli (87')
Cafarquliyev (26'), Bayramov (28'), Mammadov (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krastev (59')
Iliev (25'), Iliev (25'), Antov (75'), Petkov (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-0 Mongolia
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Bulgaria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, March 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawBulgaria
47.66% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)25.93% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49%55.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31%76.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.022999999999996 0.02)23.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)36.8% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42% (-0.032 -0.03)73.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 47.66%
    Bulgaria 25.93%
    Draw 26.41%
AzerbaijanDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Bulgaria

Azerbaijan
55.8%
Draw
23.1%
Bulgaria
21.2%
52
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Bulgaria
2-0
Azerbaijan
Aleksandrov (20'), Rangelov (56')
Ivanov (15'), Dyakov (79'), Milanov (90')

Sadiqov (48'), Amirguliyev (77'), Garayev (79')
> Match Report
Sep 9, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Azerbaijan
1-2
Bulgaria
Nazarov (54')
Abisov (23'), Javadov (35'), Abdullayev (90')
Mitsanski (14'), Hristov (87')
Gadzhev (62')
> Match Report