Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2024 at 4pm UK

Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))

Azerbaijan
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Gurbanli (87')
Cafarquliyev (26'), Bayramov (28'), Mammadov (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krastev (59')
Iliev (25'), Iliev (25'), Antov (75'), Petkov (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-0 Mongolia
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Bulgaria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, March 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Hungary	8	9	18
2	Serbia	8	6	14
3	Montenegro	8	-2	11
4	Lithuania	8	-6	6
5	Bulgaria	8	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Bulgaria
47.66% ( 0.05)	26.42% ( -0)	25.93% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.47% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.49%

55.51% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.31%

76.69% (

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

0.02)

23.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

0.03)

57.25% (

-0.03)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

-0.03)

36.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

-0.03)

73.58% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 47.66%

Bulgaria 25.93%

Draw 26.41%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.66%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.93%