Azerbaijan vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.