Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Azerbaijan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Azerbaijan.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Mongolia
60.27% ( 0.01)	23.67% ( -0)	16.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.87% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15% (

-0.02)

55.85% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

-0.01)

76.97% (

0.01)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0)

18.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66% (

-0)

49.34% (

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.45% (

-0.02)

47.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.11% (

-0.01)

82.89% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 60.27%

Mongolia 16.06%

Draw 23.67%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Mongolia
1-0 @ 14.76% 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 60.27%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.06%