International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
  • Emil Mustafaev 89' yellowcard
  • Bahlul Mustafazada 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Batmunkh Baljinnyam 67'

Azerbaijan vs Mongolia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Mongolia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Azerbaijan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Azerbaijan.

Result

Azerbaijan 60.27% (+0.02)
Draw 23.67% (-0.01)
Mongolia 16.06% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.87% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.15% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 55.85% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 23.03% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 76.97% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 10.13% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.87% (+0.01)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.28% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.66% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.34% (+0.01)

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5 52.45% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 47.55% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 17.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 82.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 60.27%
Draw 23.67%
Mongolia 16.06%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 14.76%
2-0 @ 12.55% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.11% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 60.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.67%
Mongolia
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.06%