World Cup Qualifying - Asia
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Farshad Noor
13'
-
Faysal Shayesteh
45'+1'
-
Jabar Sharza
60'
-
Rahmat Akbari
80'
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Jabar Sharza
90'
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Batbaatar Amgalanbat
12'
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Tsend-Ayush Khurelbaatar
78'
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Filip Andersen
90'+3'
Afghanistan vs Mongolia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Afghanistan in this match.
Result
Afghanistan
57.45%
▲
(+2.11)
Draw
22.76%
▼
(-1.17)
Mongolia
19.79%
▼
(-0.94)
Both Teams to Score:
52.17%
▲
(+2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.03%
▲
(+3.63)
Under 2.5
46.97%
▼
(-3.63)
Over 3.5
30.79%
▲
(+3.30)
Under 3.5
69.22%
▼
(-3.30)
Over 4.5
15.22%
▲
(+2.25)
Under 4.5
84.78%
▼
(-2.25)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5
83.91%
▲
(+2.06)
Under 0.5
16.09%
▼
(-2.06)
Over 1.5
54.52%
▲
(+3.64)
Under 1.5
45.48%
▼
(-3.64)
Mongolia Goals
Over 0.5
62.17%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 0.5
37.83%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 1.5
25.39%
▲
(+1.06)
Under 1.5
74.61%
▼
(-1.06)
Score analysis
Afghanistan
57.44%
Draw
22.76%
Mongolia
19.79%
Afghanistan
1-0
@
11.12%
▼
(-0.94)
2-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.50)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.32)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.33)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.39)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.23)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-84.27)
5-1 @ 1% ▼ (-79.40)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 57.44%
2-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.50)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.32)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.33)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.39)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.23)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-84.27)
5-1 @ 1% ▼ (-79.40)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 57.44%
Draw
1-1
@
10.81%
▼
(-0.56)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.98)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 22.76%
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.98)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 22.76%
Mongolia
0-1
@
5.92%
▼
(-0.75)
1-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.79%