International Friendlies
Sep 12, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rizal Memorial Stadium
  • Mike Ott 66' yellowcard
  • S. Rasmussen 74' goal
  • Christian Rontini 81' goal
  • Jarvey Gayoso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Omid Popalzay 64'
  • yellowcard Zelfy Nazary 68'

Philippines vs Afghanistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 8, 2023 12.00pm
Chinese Taipei 1 - 1 Philippines

Afghanistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 12.00pm
Bangladesh 1 - 1 Afghanistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.

Result

Philippines 70.83% (+0.37)
Draw 17.56% (-0.17)
Afghanistan 11.6% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.99% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.1% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 39.9% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 37.74% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 62.26% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 20.35% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 79.65% (-0.14)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5 89.96% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 10.04% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 66.88% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 33.12% (-0.32)

Afghanistan Goals

Over 0.5 55.57% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 44.42% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 19.53% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 80.47% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Philippines 70.83%
Draw 17.56%
Afghanistan 11.6%
Philippines
2-0 @ 11.78% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 9.03% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.33% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.19% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.21% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.39% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.94% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 70.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.56%
Afghanistan
0-1 @ 3.62% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 11.6%