Philippines national football team
Friendlies 3
Sep 12, 2023 at 12pm UK
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Afghanistan national football team

Philippines
2 - 1
Afghanistan

Rasmussen (74'), Rontini (81')
Ott (66'), Gayoso (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Popalzay (64')
Nazary (68')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Philippines and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Chinese Taipei 1-1 Philippines
Friday, September 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Afghanistan

Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Afghanistan
Thursday, September 7 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.

Result
PhilippinesDrawAfghanistan
70.83% (0.36800000000001 0.37)17.56% (-0.16 -0.16)11.6% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (0.167 0.17)39.9% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (0.174 0.17)62.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.96% (0.134 0.13)10.04% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.88% (0.31099999999999 0.31)33.12% (-0.314 -0.31)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.57% (-0.253 -0.25)44.42% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53% (-0.204 -0.2)80.47% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Philippines 70.83%
    Afghanistan 11.6%
    Draw 17.56%
PhilippinesDrawAfghanistan
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.19% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.21% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.39% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 70.83%
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.56%
0-1 @ 3.62% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 11.6%

How you voted: Philippines vs Afghanistan

Philippines
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Afghanistan
0.0%
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