International Friendlies
Jun 15, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rizal Memorial Stadium
  • Jarvey Gayoso 50' goal

Philippines vs Nepal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 7.30pm
Jordan 4 - 0 Philippines

Nepal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2023 12.45pm
Nepal 2 - 1 Laos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 91.32%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 2.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.08%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.93%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.

Result

Philippines 91.32% (+0.02)
Draw 6.25% (-0.01)
Nepal 2.42% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.48% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.57% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 20.42% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 61.3% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 38.7% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 41.9% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 58.09% (+0.20)

Philippines Goals

Over 0.5 97.5% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 2.49% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 88.3% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 11.7% (+0.06)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5 42.54% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 57.45% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 10.7% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 89.3% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Philippines 91.32%
Draw 6.25%
Nepal 2.42%
Philippines
3-0 @ 12.01% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 11.08% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.76% (+0.07)
5-0 @ 8.18% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 6.14% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.29% (+0.05)
6-0 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 4.54% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 2.79% (-0.02)
7-0 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
7-1 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
8-0 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 91.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 6.25%
Nepal
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 2.42%