Philippines national football team
Friendlies 3
Jun 15, 2023 at 12pm UK
Rizal Memorial Stadium
Nepal national football team

Philippines
1 - 0
Nepal

Gayoso (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Philippines and Nepal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Jordan 4-0 Philippines
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Nepal

Last Game: Nepal 2-1 Laos
Friday, March 31 at 12.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 91.32%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 2.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.08%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.93%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines would win this match.

Result
PhilippinesDrawNepal
91.32% (0.019999999999996 0.02)6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)2.42% (-0.0149 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.48% (-0.254 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.57% (-0.129 -0.13)20.42% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.3% (-0.183 -0.18)38.7% (0.184 0.18)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.5% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)2.49% (0.015 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.3% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)11.7% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.54% (-0.253 -0.25)57.45% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.7% (-0.142 -0.14)89.3% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Philippines 91.32%
    Nepal 2.42%
    Draw 6.25%
PhilippinesDrawNepal
3-0 @ 12.01% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 11.08% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
5-0 @ 8.18% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.29% (0.045 0.04)
6-0 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 4.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-1 @ 2.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
7-0 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
8-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 91.32%
1-1 @ 2.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 1.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.43% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 6.25%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 2.42%

How you voted: Philippines vs Nepal

Philippines
51.2%
Draw
2.3%
Nepal
46.5%
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