Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Philippines win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kuwait would win this match.