Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Laos had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nepal in this match.