Nepal national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Dashrath Rangasala
Bhutan national football team

Nepal
1 - 1
Bhutan

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Nepal and Bhutan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Nepal 2-0 Laos
Wednesday, March 22 at 12.15pm in International Friendlies

Bhutan

Last Game: Laos 2-1 Bhutan
Saturday, March 25 at 12.15pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
NepalDrawBhutan
60.19% (0.135 0.13)23.13% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)16.67% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.49% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)52.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.083000000000002 0.08)74.58% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.083999999999989 0.08)17.26% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (0.144 0.14)47.58% (-0.143 -0.14)
Bhutan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)45.02% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)80.95% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nepal 60.19%
    Bhutan 16.67%
    Draw 23.13%
NepalDrawBhutan
1-0 @ 13.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.19%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 16.67%

rhs 2.0


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