World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg

Oct 17, 2023 at 8am UK

Football Centre MFF

Mongolia
0 - 1
Afghanistan

(Afghanistan win 2-0 on aggregate)

Uuganbat (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Noor (71')
Popalzay (6')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Mongolia and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mongolia

Last Game: Afghanistan 1-0 Mongolia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Afghanistan

Last Game: Afghanistan 1-0 Mongolia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Afghanistan would win this match.

Result
Mongolia	Draw	Afghanistan
12.44% ( -0.11)	19.35% ( -0.29)	68.21% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 46.6% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

0.98)

45.82% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

0.92)

68.14% (

-0.92)

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.19% (

0.43)

46.81% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.66% (

0.33)

82.34% (

-0.32)

Afghanistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.61% (

0.41)

12.39% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.73% (

0.84)

38.26% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Mongolia 12.44%

Afghanistan 68.2%

Draw 19.35%

Mongolia	Draw	Afghanistan
1-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.44%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.35%	0-2 @ 12.64% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 4.6% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.2%