World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 17, 2023 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Football Centre MFF
  • Temulen Uuganbat 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omid Popalzay 6'
  • goal Farshad Noor 71'

Mongolia vs Afghanistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mongolia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 3.00pm
Afghanistan 1 - 0 Mongolia

Afghanistan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last game
Oct 12, 2023 3.00pm
Afghanistan 1 - 0 Mongolia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Afghanistan would win this match.

Result

Mongolia 12.44% (-0.11)
Draw 19.35% (-0.29)
Afghanistan 68.21% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.6% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.17% (+0.98)
Under 2.5 45.82% (-0.98)
Over 3.5 31.86% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 68.14% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 15.97% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 84.02% (-0.66)

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5 53.19% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 46.81% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 17.66% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 82.34% (-0.33)

Afghanistan Goals

Over 0.5 87.61% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 12.39% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 61.73% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 38.26% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Mongolia 12.44%
Draw 19.35%
Afghanistan 68.2%
Mongolia
1-0 @ 4.4% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 12.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 3.64% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.35%
Afghanistan
0-2 @ 12.64% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 9.6% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 8.8% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.68% (+0.12)
0-4 @ 4.6% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 3.49% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.92% (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.46% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 68.2%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
  • Farshad Noor 13' yellowcard
  • Faysal Shayesteh 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jabar Sharza 60' goal
  • Rahmat Akbari 80' yellowcard
  • Jabar Sharza 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Batbaatar Amgalanbat 12'
  • redcard Tsend-Ayush Khurelbaatar 78'
  • yellowcard Filip Andersen 90'+3'