MX23RW : Sunday, October 27 06:58:33| >> :600:1165187:1165187:
Spain national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Croatia national football team

Spain
3 - 0
Croatia

Morata (29'), Ruiz (32'), Carvajal (45+2')
Rodri (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Match Report

Alvaro Morata, Fabian Ruiz and Dani Carvajal score the goals as Spain open their Euro 2024 campaign with a 3-0 victory over Croatia in Berlin.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Spain and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 5-1 N. Ireland
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Croatia
Saturday, June 8 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawCroatia
52.3% (-0.222 -0.22) 23.74% (-0.038 -0.04) 23.96% (0.263 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.425 0.43)46.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (0.397 0.4)68.64% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.075999999999993 0.08)17.7% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.131 0.13)48.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (0.46199999999999 0.46)33.5% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (0.502 0.5)70.14% (-0.49799999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Spain 52.29%
    Croatia 23.96%
    Draw 23.74%
SpainDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: Spain vs Croatia

Spain
53.8%
Draw
29.1%
Croatia
17.1%
767
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Croatia
0-0
Spain
(Aggregate 0-0 | Spain win 5-4 on penalties)
Petkovic (90+2')
Gavi (81'), Nacho (96'), Rodri (97')
Jun 28, 2021 5pm
Round of 16
Croatia
3-5
Spain
Pedri (20' og.), Orsic (85'), Pasalic (90+2')
Brozovic (73'), Caleta-Car (84')
Sarabia (38'), Azpilicueta (57'), Torres (77'), Morata (100'), Oyarzabal (103')
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Croatia
3-2
Spain
Kramaric (54'), Jedvaj (69', 90')
Rebic (70'), Perisic (88')
Ceballos (56'), Ramos (78' pen.)
Busquets (88'), Ceballos (90')
Sep 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Spain
6-0
Croatia
Niguez (24'), Asensio (33'), Kalinic (35' og.), Rodrigo (49'), Ramos (57'), Isco (70')

Santini (12'), Brozovic (39')
Jun 21, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
2-1
Spain
Kalinic (45'), Perisic (87')
Rog (29'), Srna (71'), Vrsaljko (71'), Perisic (88')
Morata (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5pm
Eagles
@
Bengals
5pm
Ravens
@
Browns
5pm
Falcons
@
Buccaneers
5pm
Cardinals
@
Dolphins
5pm
Packers
@
Jags
5pm
Titans
@
Lions
5pm
Jets
@
Patriots
5pm
Colts
@
Texans
8.05pm
Saints
@
Chargers
8.05pm
Bills
@
Seahawks
8.25pm
Panthers
@
Broncos
8.25pm
Chiefs
@
Raiders
8.25pm
Bears
@
Washington
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool87011531221
3Aston Villa95311611518
4Arsenal8521158717
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
7Chelsea84221710714
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs8413189913
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle833288012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd832379-211
14Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
15Everton92341016-69
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham82241115-48
17Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
18Crystal Palace8035511-63
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!