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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
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Spain3 - 0Croatia
Reaction
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Croatia's Luka Modric equals Cristiano Ronaldo Euros record in Spain defeat
Luka Modric draws level with Cristiano Ronaldo for the most Euros tournaments played in, but the Croatia man could be surpassed in a matter of days.Jun 16, 07:55
Luka Modric urges Croatia to move on quickly from three-goal Spain defeat
Croatia captain Luka Modric says that his side must move on quickly from their 3-0 defeat to Spain at Euro 2024.Jun 15, 20:11
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Spain forward Alvaro Morata calms injury fears after withdrawal against Croatia
Spain captain Alvaro Morata says that his substitution against Croatia at Euro 2024 on Saturday was only precautionary.Jun 15, 19:47
Record-breaking Lamine Yamal reacts to historic appearance at Euro 2024
Spain's teenage star Lamine Yamal says that he was "thrilled" to play a key role in his country's success over Croatia at Euro 2024.Jun 15, 19:32
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Luis de la Fuente calls for calm after dominant Spain win at Euro 2024
Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente says that his side must remain focused after opening their Euro 2024 campaign with a 3-0 win over Croatia.Jun 15, 19:20
Barcelona's Lamine Yamal makes history with Spain outing at Euro 2024
Spain's Lamine Yamal becomes the youngest-ever player to feature in the finals of a European Championship at the age of 16 years and 338 days old.Jun 15, 16:05
The Match
Match Report
Alvaro Morata, Fabian Ruiz and Dani Carvajal score the goals as Spain open their Euro 2024 campaign with a 3-0 victory over Croatia in Berlin.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Spain and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Croatia could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Spain.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain 5-1 N. Ireland
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
Result | ||
Spain | Draw | Croatia |
52.3% (![]() | 23.74% (![]() | 23.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% (![]() | 46.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.36% (![]() | 68.64% (![]() |
Spain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% (![]() | 17.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.64% (![]() | 48.36% (![]() |
Croatia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% (![]() | 33.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.86% (![]() | 70.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spain 52.29%
Croatia 23.96%
Draw 23.74%
Spain | Draw | Croatia |
1-0 @ 10.26% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 11.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.96% |
How you voted: Spain vs Croatia
Spain
53.8%Draw
29.1%Croatia
17.1%767
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 7.45pm
Jun 28, 2021 5pm
Round of 16
Croatia
3-5
Spain
Form Guide
Build-up
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Sports Mole looks at how Croatia could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Spain.
Jun 13, 13:57
Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Croatia.
Jun 13, 13:56
rhs 2.0


Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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