Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

Spain national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Croatia national football team

Spain
3 - 0
Croatia

Morata (29'), Ruiz (32'), Carvajal (45+2')
Rodri (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Match Report

Alvaro Morata, Fabian Ruiz and Dani Carvajal score the goals as Spain open their Euro 2024 campaign with a 3-0 victory over Croatia in Berlin.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Spain and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Croatia could line up in Saturday's Euro 2024 clash with Spain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 5-1 N. Ireland
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Croatia

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 1-2 Croatia
Saturday, June 8 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawCroatia
52.3% (-0.222 -0.22)23.74% (-0.038 -0.04)23.96% (0.263 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.425 0.43)46.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (0.397 0.4)68.64% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.075999999999993 0.08)17.7% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.131 0.13)48.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (0.46199999999999 0.46)33.5% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (0.502 0.5)70.14% (-0.49799999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Spain 52.29%
    Croatia 23.96%
    Draw 23.74%
SpainDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: Spain vs Croatia

Spain
53.8%
Draw
29.1%
Croatia
17.1%
767
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Croatia
0-0
Spain
(Aggregate 0-0 | Spain win 5-4 on penalties)
Petkovic (90+2')
Gavi (81'), Nacho (96'), Rodri (97')
> Match Report
Jun 28, 2021 5pm
Round of 16
Croatia
3-5
Spain
Pedri (20' og.), Orsic (85'), Pasalic (90+2')
Brozovic (73'), Caleta-Car (84')
Sarabia (38'), Azpilicueta (57'), Torres (77'), Morata (100'), Oyarzabal (103')
> Match Report
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Croatia
3-2
Spain
Kramaric (54'), Jedvaj (69', 90')
Rebic (70'), Perisic (88')
Ceballos (56'), Ramos (78' pen.)
Busquets (88'), Ceballos (90')
> Match Report
Sep 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Spain
6-0
Croatia
Niguez (24'), Asensio (33'), Kalinic (35' og.), Rodrigo (49'), Ramos (57'), Isco (70')

Santini (12'), Brozovic (39')
> Match Report
Jun 21, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
2-1
Spain
Kalinic (45'), Perisic (87')
Rog (29'), Srna (71'), Vrsaljko (71'), Perisic (88')
Morata (7')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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