Spain vs Brazil - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.