Friendlies 1

Jun 8, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Spain
5 - 1
N. Ireland

Pedri (12', 29'), Morata (18'), Ruiz (35'), Oyarzabal (60')
Le Normand (5')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Ballard (2')
Price (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Spain and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Spain 5-0 Andorra
Wednesday, June 5 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	0	0	0
2	Spain	0	0	0
3	Croatia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Northern Ireland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Scotland 0-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 82.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.85%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Northern Ireland
82.76% ( 0)	11.64% ( 0.02)	5.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.19% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.68% (

-0.22)

32.32% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.06% (

-0.26)

53.94% (

0.26)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.24% (

-0.04)

5.76% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.8% (

-0.12)

22.19% (

0.12)

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.88% (

-0.24)

53.11% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.28% (

-0.15)

86.72% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Spain 82.75%

Northern Ireland 5.6%

Draw 11.64%

Spain	Draw	Northern Ireland
2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 82.75%	1-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.64%	0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 5.6%