Spain
5 - 1
N. Ireland

Pedri (12', 29'), Morata (18'), Ruiz (35'), Oyarzabal (60')
Le Normand (5')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Ballard (2')
Price (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Spain and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Spain 5-0 Andorra
Wednesday, June 5 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	0	0	0
2	Spain	0	0	0
3	Croatia	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Northern Ireland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Scotland 0-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 82.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.85%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Northern Ireland
82.76% ( 0)	11.64% ( 0.02)	5.6% ( -0.02)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Spain	Draw	Northern Ireland
2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 82.75%	1-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.64%	0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 5.6%

Spain5 - 1N. Ireland