/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
-
Mateo Kovacic
2'
-
Marko Pjaca
14'
-
Petar Sucic
40'
-
Luka Modric
52'
-
Bruno Petkovic
68'
-
Ante Budimir
90'+1'
-
Michal Probierz
90'+4'
-
Jan Bednarek
44'
-
Michal Probierz
72'
Croatia vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.
Result
Croatia
50.72%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
26.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Poland
23.02%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
46.18%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.9%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 2.5
57.1%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
22.02%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
77.98%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
9.53%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
90.48%
▲
(+0.08)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5
77.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
22.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
43.78%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
56.22%
▼
(-0.06)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
59.67%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
40.33%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
23.04%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
76.96%
▲
(+0.28)
Score analysis
Croatia
50.71%
Draw
26.26%
Poland
23.02%
Croatia
1-0
@
13.55%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 50.71%
2-0 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 50.71%
Draw
1-1
@
12.31%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.26%
0-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.26%
Poland
0-1
@
8.28%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.02%