Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Scotland national football team

Poland
1 - 2
Scotland

Piatkowski (59')
Zielinski (79'), Buksa (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGinn (3'), Robertson (90+3')
McLean (31'), Christie (70'), McGinn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Poland and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 5-1 Poland
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawScotland
52.99% (1.396 1.4)22.53% (-0.343 -0.34)24.48% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 59.44% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (0.593 0.59)40.38% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.609 0.61)62.76% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.693 0.69)15.29% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (1.286 1.29)44.01% (-1.287 -1.29)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)29.82% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (-0.61600000000001 -0.62)65.9% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Poland 52.99%
    Scotland 24.48%
    Draw 22.52%
PolandDrawScotland
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.182 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.156 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Poland vs Scotland

Poland
57.2%
Draw
18.4%
Scotland
24.4%
250
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Scotland
2-3
Poland
Gilmour (46'), McTominay (76')
Szymanski (8'), Lewandowski (44' pen.), Zalewski (90+7' pen.)
Dawidowicz (35'), Zalewski (52'), Slisz (84')
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Scotland
1-1
Poland
Tierney (68')
Piatek (90+4' pen.)
Reca (70')
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Scotland
2-2
Poland
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-2
Scotland
Mar 5, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
0-1
Scotland