/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fturlog.png)
-
Orri Oskarsson
3'
-
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
32'
-
Hakon Valdimarsson
54'
-
Logi Tomasson
81'
-
Andri Gudjohnsen
83'
-
Merih Demiral
35'
-
Kenan Yildiz
57'
-
Irfan Kahveci
62'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
67'
-
Abdulkerim Bardakci
71'
-
Arda Guler
88'
-
Kerem Akturkoglu
90'+5'
Iceland vs Turkey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fgylfi-sigurdsson.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result
Iceland
43.57%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
25.74%
▼
(-0.03)
Turkey
30.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
53.63%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.71%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
50.29%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
27.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
72.24%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
13.16%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
86.85%
▼
(-0.07)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5
77.02%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
22.99%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
43.22%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
56.78%
▼
(-0.10)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5
69.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
30.36%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
33.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
66.56%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Iceland
43.57%
Draw
25.73%
Turkey
30.7%
Iceland
1-0
@
10.26%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 43.57%
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 43.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.23%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
Turkey
0-1
@
8.32%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.7%
1-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.7%
