Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Turkey in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Turkey.