UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Turkey
1 - 0
Montenegro

Kahveci (69')
Guler (65'), Kokcu (90+3'), Ayhan (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brnovic (89'), Osmajic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Montenegro

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Turkey in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Turkey.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Montenegro
61.53% ( -0.07)	21.42% ( 0.01)	17.06% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

0.08)

45.43% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.24% (

0.07)

67.76% (

-0.07)

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.76% (

14.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58% (

0.01)

42% (

-0.01)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97% (

0.12)

40.03% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.32% (

0.11)

76.68% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Turkey 61.51%

Montenegro 17.06%

Draw 21.42%

Turkey	Draw	Montenegro
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 61.51%	1-1 @ 10.17% 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.42%	0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.06%