UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
0 - 3
Greece

(Greece win 3-1 on aggregate)

Ferguson (61'), Hirst (71')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Konstantelias (20'), Karetsas (42'), Tzolis (46')
Pavlidis (69'), Mouzakitis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Scotland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Last Game: Greece 0-1 Scotland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Greece

All competitions

Last Game: Greece 0-1 Scotland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Greece
29.27% ( 0.42)	26.58% ( 0.11)	44.14% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68% (

-0.23)

54.32% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

-0.2)

75.71% (

0.2)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.19)

33.47% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89% (

0.21)

70.1% (

-0.21)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

-0.36)

24.46% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

-0.51)

58.91% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Scotland 29.27%

Greece 44.13%

Draw 26.58%

Scotland	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.27%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.13%