Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.