UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Aviva Stadium

Rep. Ireland
0 - 2
Greece

Omobamidele (31'), Knight (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ioannidis (50'), Tzolis (87')
Tsimikas (58'), Tzolis (63'), Siopis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 England
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Greece

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Greece
30.22% ( -0.06)	25.85% ( -0.07)	43.93% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01% (

0.26)

50.98% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.23)

72.85% (

-0.23)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

0.09)

31.05% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

0.11)

67.37% (

-0.11)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

0.18)

23.11% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03% (

0.26)

56.96% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 30.22%

Greece 43.92%

Draw 25.85%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.22%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.92%