Republic of Ireland vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.