MX23RW : Tuesday, October 8 21:07:14| >> :60:545:545:
Republic of Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Aviva Stadium
England national football team

Rep. Ireland
0 - 2
England


Szmodics (45'), Molumby (65'), Brady (68'), O'Brien (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rice (11'), Grealish (26')
Mainoo (14'), Colwill (77')

The Match

Match Report

One-time Irishmen Declan Rice and Jack Grealish haunt their former nation as England beat the Republic of Ireland 2-0 in Lee Carsley's first game in charge.

Team News

England interim manager Lee Carsley names Jack Grealish and Levi Colwill in his starting lineup against the Republic of Ireland in the UEFA Nations League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with the Republic of Ireland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 3-0 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Spain 2-1 England
Sunday, July 14 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawEngland
30.26% (0.15 0.15) 27.01% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 42.72% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44% (-0.238 -0.24)55.55% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.194 -0.19)76.73% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.01% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)25.74% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33% (-0.307 -0.31)60.67% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 30.26%
    England 42.72%
    Draw 27.01%
Republic of IrelandDrawEngland
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.72%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs England

Republic of Ireland
13.4%
Draw
15.3%
England
71.3%
261
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Friendlies 1
England
3-0
Rep. Ireland
Maguire (18'), Sancho (31'), Calvert-Lewin (56' pen.)
Jun 7, 2015 1pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
0-0
England
May 29, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
England
1-1
Rep. Ireland
rhs 2.0
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