Spain vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for England had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.