European Championship
Spain
Jun 30, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT RheinEnergieStadion
Georgia
  • Rodri 39' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 44' yellowcard
  • Fabian Ruiz 51' goal
  • Nico Williams 75' goal
  • Dani Olmo 83' goal
  • goal Robin Le Normand 18' (OG)
  • yellowcard Zuriko Davitashvili 71'

Spain vs Georgia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis
Feature
News

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Georgia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 76.18%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Georgia win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result

Spain 76.18% ▲ (+0.52)
Draw 14.75% ▼ (-0.14)
Georgia 9.07% ▼ (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.77% ▼ (-1.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.04% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 2.5 33.96% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 3.5 44.18% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 3.5 55.81% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 4.5 25.6% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 4.5 74.4% ▲ (+0.65)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 92.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 7.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 73.38% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 26.62% ▲ (+0.13)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 54.82% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 0.5 45.18% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 1.5 18.92% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 1.5 81.07% ▲ (+1.03)

Score analysis

Spain 76.17%
Draw 14.75%
Georgia 9.07%
Spain
2-0 @ 11.32% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.10)
6-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 76.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 14.75%
Georgia
1-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 9.07%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Spain
Nov 19, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Georgia
  • Robin Le Normand 4' goal
  • Ferran Torres 55' goal
  • Rodri 56' yellowcard
  • Luka Lochoshvili 72' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 10'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 75'
  • yellowcard Willy Sagnol 75'
  • yellowcard Guram Kashia 83'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Georgia
Sep 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
7
HT : 0 4
FT Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Spain
  • Giorgi Aburjania 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 49' goal
  • Guram Kashia 50' yellowcard
  • Otar Kiteishvili 60' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 63' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Morata 22'
  • goal Saba Kverkvelia 27' (OG)
  • goal Dani Olmo 38'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 40'
  • yellowcard Gavi 45'+1'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 66'
  • goal Nico Williams 68'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 74'
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 79'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Spain
Sep 5, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Georgia
  • Jose Gaya 14' goal
  • Carlos Soler 25' goal
  • Ferran Torres 41' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 63' goal
  • yellowcard Guram Kashia 68'
  • yellowcard Grigol Chabradze 82'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Georgia
Mar 28, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Spain
  • Budu Zivzivadze 19' yellowcard
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 44' goal
  • Levan Shengelia 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 7'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 14'
  • goal Ferran Torres 56'
  • goal Dani Olmo 90'+2'
International Friendlies
Spain
Jun 7, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Georgia
  • San Jose 82' yellowcard
  • goal Tornike Okriashvili 40'
  • yellowcard Solomon Kverkvelia 61'
World Cup
Spain
Oct 15, 2013 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Georgia
  • Alvaro Negredo 26' goal
  • Juan Mata 61' goal
  • yellowcard Akaki Khubutia 55'

Form Data

Albania 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 1 - 0 Italy
Spain 3 - 0 Croatia
Spain 5 - 1 N. Ireland
Spain 5 - 0 Andorra
Spain 3 - 3 Brazil
Georgia 2 - 0 Portugal
Georgia 1 - 1 Czech Republic
Turkey 3 - 1 Georgia
Montenegro 1 - 3 Georgia
Georgia 0 - 0 Greece
Georgia 2 - 0 Luxembourg

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
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