/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Falblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fspalog.png)
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Nedim Bajrami
66'
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Medon Berisha
89'
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Ferran Torres
13'
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Daniel Vivian
90'
Albania vs Spain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2Fferran-torres_1.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F24%2Falvaro-morata.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F25%2Fsparodr.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Albania had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
Result
Albania
12.56%
▼
(-0.24)
Draw
18.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Spain
69.14%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
50.5%
▼
(-0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.17%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 2.5
40.83%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
36.78%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 3.5
63.22%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 4.5
19.61%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 4.5
80.39%
▲
(+0.26)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5
56.56%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 0.5
43.43%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
20.34%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
79.66%
▲
(+0.50)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5
89.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
10.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
65.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
34.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Albania
12.56%
Draw
18.3%
Spain
69.12%
Albania
1-0
@
3.88%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.56%
2-1 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.56%
Draw
1-1
@
8.67%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 18.3%
0-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 18.3%
Spain
0-2
@
11.6%
▲
(+0.16)
0-1 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 69.12%
0-1 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 69.12%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F25%2Fmirlind-daku_1.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F25%2Fklaus-gjasula.JPG)