European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Albania0 - 1Spain
The Match
Match Report
Spain forward Ferran Torres scores the decisive goal to secure a 1-0 win and end Albania's Euro 2024 journey.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between Albania and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Albania could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 Group B clash with Spain.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Croatia 2-2 Albania
Wednesday, June 19 at 2pm in European Championship
Wednesday, June 19 at 2pm in European Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Italy | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Albania | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Croatia | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Albania had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Spain |
12.56% ( -0.24) | 18.3% ( -0.06) | 69.14% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
