Spain vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for France had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.