European Championship
Spain
Jul 5, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
ET Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Germany
  • Robin Le Normand 29' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 51' goal
  • Ferran Torres 74' yellowcard
  • Unai Simon 82' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 100' yellowcard
  • Rodri 110' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 119' goal
  • Fabian Ruiz 120' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 120'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 13'
  • yellowcard David Raum 28'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 56'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 67'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 73'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 89'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 89'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 94'
  • yellowcard Deniz Undav 113'

Spain vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Germany

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%).

Result

Spain 47.32% ▼ (-0.58)
Draw 23.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Germany 28.79% ▲ (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.66% ▲ (+0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.8% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 43.2% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 34.4% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 65.59% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 17.82% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 82.17% ▼ (-0.29)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 81.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 18.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 50.41% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 49.59% ▲ (+0.13)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 71.9% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 0.5 28.09% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 1.5 36.24% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 1.5 63.76% ▼ (-0.77)

Score analysis

Spain 47.32%
Draw 23.89%
Germany 28.79%
Spain
2-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.89%
Germany
1-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 28.79%

Head to Head

World Cup
Spain
Nov 27, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Germany
  • Alvaro Morata 62' goal
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 83'
Nations League
Spain
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Germany
  • Alvaro Morata 17' goal
  • Ferran Torres 33' goal
  • Rodri 38' goal
  • Ferran Torres 55' goal
  • Ferran Torres 71' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 89' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Koch 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 67'
Nations League
Germany
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Spain
  • Timo Werner 51' goal
  • goal Jose Gaya 90'+6'
International Friendlies
Spain
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
Germany
International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 23, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Esprit Arena
Spain
  • Thomas Muller 35' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 6'
International Friendlies
Spain
Nov 18, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Germany
  • Raul Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Kroos 89'

Form Data

Spain 4 - 1 Georgia
Albania 0 - 1 Spain
Spain 1 - 0 Italy
Spain 3 - 0 Croatia
Spain 5 - 1 N. Ireland
Spain 5 - 0 Andorra
Germany 2 - 0 Denmark
Switzerland 1 - 1 Germany
Germany 2 - 0 Hungary
Germany 5 - 1 Scotland
Germany 2 - 1 Greece
Germany 0 - 0 Ukraine

Build-up

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