Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Germany in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Germany.
