/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
12'
-
Jannik Vestergaard
21'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
50'
-
Yussuf Poulsen
90'
-
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
19'
-
Erling Haaland
72'
Denmark vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fdenmark.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Norway had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
Result
Denmark
59.77%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
22.36%
▲
(+0.03)
Norway
17.87%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.94%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
48.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
29.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
70.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
14.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
85.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5
84.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
15.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
55.26%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
44.74%
▲
(+0.08)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
59.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
40.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
22.78%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
77.22%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Denmark
59.77%
Draw
22.35%
Norway
17.87%
Denmark
1-0
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 59.77%
2-0 @ 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 59.77%
Draw
1-1
@
10.63%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.35%
0-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.35%
Norway
0-1
@
5.74%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.87%
1-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.87%