International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parken
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 2' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 86' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 9'
  • yellowcard Alexander Isak 38'
  • yellowcard Jens Cajuste 90'+2'

Denmark vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 7.15pm
Denmark 2 - 0 Faroe Islands

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2024 6.00pm
Sweden 1 - 0 Albania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result

Denmark 74.64% (+0.15)
Draw 15.34% (-0.09)
Sweden 10.02% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.35% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 33.65% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 44.53% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 55.47% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 25.9% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 74.1% (-0.24)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 92.38% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 7.63% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 72.75% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 27.25% (-0.22)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 56.96% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 43.04% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 20.68% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.32% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Denmark 74.63%
Draw 15.34%
Sweden 10.02%
Denmark
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.86% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 6% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 5.06% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 3.09% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 74.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 15.34%
Sweden
1-2 @ 3% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.77% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.02%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 11, 2020 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonas Wind 61' goal
  • Andreas Maxso 67' yellowcard
  • Oliver Abildgaard 70' yellowcard
  • Alexander Bah 74' goal
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 76'
  • yellowcard Dejan Kulusevski 79'
International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2020 5.00pm
International Friendlies
Jun 2, 2018 6.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
European Championship
Nov 17, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Riza Durmisi 51' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 58' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 77' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 81' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 91' goal
  • yellowcard Pierre Bengtsson 10'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 19'
  • yellowcard Seb Larsson 70'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 76'
European Championship
Nov 14, 2015 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emil Forsberg 45' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 47' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 50' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Agger 45'
  • goal Nicolai Jorgensen 80'