Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 10.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.