Friendlies 1

Jun 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Parken

Denmark
2 - 1
Sweden

Hojbjerg (2'), Eriksen (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Isak (9')
Isak (38'), Cajuste (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Denmark and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Denmark	0	0	0
3	Serbia	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Sweden
74.64% ( 0.14)	15.34% ( -0.08)	10.02% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.35% (

0.25)

33.65% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.53% (

0.28)

55.47% (

-0.27)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.38% (

0.09)

7.63% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.75% (

0.22)

27.25% (

-0.22)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

0.06)

43.04% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.68% (

0.05)

79.32% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Denmark 74.63%

Sweden 10.02%

Draw 15.34%

Denmark	Draw	Sweden
2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 74.63%	1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.34%	1-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 10.02%