Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)

Switzerland
1 - 1
Germany

Ndoye (28')
Ndoye (25'), Xhaka (67'), Widmer (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Andrich (17'), Fullkrug (90+2')
Tah (38')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Scotland 1-1 Switzerland
Wednesday, June 19 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	6	6
2	Switzerland	2	2	4
3	Scotland	2	-4	1
4	Hungary	2	-4	0

Germany

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	2	6	6
2	Switzerland	2	2	4
3	Scotland	2	-4	1
4	Hungary	2	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Germany
39.06% ( 0.05)	24.45% ( 0)	36.49% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.73% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.9% (

-0.03)

43.09% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

-0.02)

65.49% (

0.02)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

0.01)

22.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61% (

0.01)

55.39% (

-0.01)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.04)

23.37% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.05)

57.34% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 39.06%

Germany 36.49%

Draw 24.44%

Switzerland	Draw	Germany
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.06%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 36.49%