Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.