Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024

France national football team
European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Belgium national football team

France
1 - 0
Belgium

Vertonghen (85' og.)
Tchouameni (14'), Griezmann (23'), Rabiot (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vertonghen (76'), Tedesco (76'), Mangala (90+3')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole analyses France's victory over Belgium in the last 16 of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and stats.

Match Report

France book a spot in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024 at the expense of a resolute Belgium side, who were downed by an own goal from Jan Vertonghen in the second half.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between France and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 last-16 clash with France.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: France 1-1 Poland
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship

Belgium

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France in this match.

Result
FranceDrawBelgium
41.13% (-0.418 -0.42)26.36% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)32.51% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 52.35% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.45 0.45)52.26% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.385 0.39)73.97% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)25.07% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)59.75% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.56100000000001 0.56)30.13% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.668 0.67)66.27% (-0.66499999999999 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    France 41.13%
    Belgium 32.51%
    Draw 26.35%
FranceDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: France vs Belgium

France
80.2%
Belgium
19.8%
707
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Belgium
2-3
France
Carrasco (37'), Lukaku (40')
Vertonghen (67')
Benzema (62'), Mbappe (69' pen.), Hernandez (90')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2018 7pm
Semi-Finals
France
1-0
Belgium
Umtiti (51')
> Match Report
Jun 7, 2015 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-4
Belgium
> Match Report
Aug 14, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
0-0
France
> Match Report
Jun 5, 1938
4pm
Round of 16
France  
F
vs.
B
   Belgium
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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