European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
France1 - 0Belgium
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole analyses France's victory over Belgium in the last 16 of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and stats.
Match Report
France book a spot in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024 at the expense of a resolute Belgium side, who were downed by an own goal from Jan Vertonghen in the second half.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between France and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 last-16 clash with Belgium.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: France 1-1 Poland
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France in this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Belgium |
41.13% ( -0.42) | 26.36% ( -0.08) | 32.51% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
