MX23RW : Monday, July 22 18:55:31| >> :600:93352:93352:
France national football team
European Championship | Round of 16
Jul 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena
Belgium national football team

France
1 - 0
Belgium

Vertonghen (85' og.)
Tchouameni (14'), Griezmann (23'), Rabiot (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vertonghen (76'), Tedesco (76'), Mangala (90+3')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole analyses France's victory over Belgium in the last 16 of Euro 2024, including highlights, man of the match and stats.

Match Report

France book a spot in the quarter-finals of Euro 2024 at the expense of a resolute Belgium side, who were downed by an own goal from Jan Vertonghen in the second half.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between France and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 last-16 clash with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: France 1-1 Poland
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Belgium
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Belgium win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for France in this match.

Result
FranceDrawBelgium
41.13% (-0.418 -0.42) 26.36% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 32.51% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 52.35% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.45 0.45)52.26% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.385 0.39)73.97% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)25.07% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)59.75% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.56100000000001 0.56)30.13% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.668 0.67)66.27% (-0.66499999999999 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    France 41.13%
    Belgium 32.51%
    Draw 26.35%
FranceDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: France vs Belgium

France
80.2%
Belgium
19.8%
707
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Belgium
2-3
France
Carrasco (37'), Lukaku (40')
Vertonghen (67')
Benzema (62'), Mbappe (69' pen.), Hernandez (90')
Jul 10, 2018 7pm
Semi-Finals
France
1-0
Belgium
Umtiti (51')
Jun 7, 2015 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-4
Belgium
Aug 14, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
0-0
France
Jun 5, 1938
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