Friendlies 1

Jun 8, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium
3 - 0
Luxembourg

Lukaku (43' pen., 57'), Trossard (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dzogovic (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Belgium and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Luxembourg

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: France 3-0 Luxembourg
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	10	34	30
2	Slovakia	10	9	22
3	Luxembourg	10	-6	17
4	Iceland	10	1	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	10	-11	9
6	Liechtenstein	10	-27	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 91.77%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 1.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 4-0 (12.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.97%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Luxembourg
91.77% ( 1.55)	6.33% ( -1)	1.9% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 31.61% (

-2.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.45% (

1.28)

26.55% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.09% (

1.62)

46.91% (

-1.62)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.75% (

0.44)

3.25% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.6% (

1.47)

14.39% (

-1.47)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.67% (

-3.11)

67.33% (

3.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.04% (

-1.3)

93.96% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Belgium 91.76%

Luxembourg 1.9%

Draw 6.33%

Belgium	Draw	Luxembourg
3-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.86) 5-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.89) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.63) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.67) 5-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.4) 6-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.24) 8-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.17) 7-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 91.76%	1-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.17% Total : 6.33%	Other @ 1.9% Total : 1.9%