Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

Belgium
2 - 0
Romania

Tielemans (2'), De Bruyne (80')
Lukebakio (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bancu (59'), Marin (65')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	1	3	3
2	Slovakia	2	0	3
3	Ukraine	2	-2	3
4	Belgium	1	-1	0

Romania

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Romania 3-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 17 at 2pm in European Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	1	3	3
2	Slovakia	2	0	3
3	Ukraine	2	-2	3
4	Belgium	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Romania had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Romania
45.7% ( 0.13)	27.05% ( 0.03)	27.25% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

-0.2)

57.04% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

-0.16)

77.93% (

0.16)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.03)

24.91% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

-0.04)

59.53% (

0.04)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.48% (

-0.24)

36.52% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.69% (

-0.24)

73.31% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Belgium 45.7%

Romania 27.25%

Draw 27.04%

Belgium	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.25%