European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Belgium2 - 0Romania
The Match
Match Report
Belgium record a crucial 2-0 victory over Romania to keep their Euro 2024 Group E hopes alive, moving level on three points with the rest of the group.
Team News
Belgium make four changes for Saturday's Euro 2024 fixture against Romania in Cologne.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 Group E clash with Romania.
Form, Standings, Stats
European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Belgium | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Romania had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgium | Draw | Romania |
45.7% ( 0.13) | 27.05% ( 0.03) | 27.25% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
