International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Nationala
  • Marius Marin 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vasil Panayotov 71'

Romania vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 7.30pm
Colombia 3 - 2 Romania

Bulgaria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 25, 2024 4.00pm
Azerbaijan 1 - 1 Bulgaria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Romania 55.05% (-1.20)
Draw 24.68% (+0.47)
Bulgaria 20.27% (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.14% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.96% (-0.90)
Under 2.5 54.04% (+0.90)
Over 3.5 24.53% (-0.76)
Under 3.5 75.47% (+0.76)
Over 4.5 11.06% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 88.94% (+0.48)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 80.43% (-0.81)
Under 0.5 19.57% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 48.51% (-1.33)
Under 1.5 51.49% (+1.33)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5 58.6% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 41.39% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 22.09% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 77.9% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Romania 55.04%
Draw 24.67%
Bulgaria 20.27%
Romania
1-0 @ 13.21% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 10.77% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 55.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.1% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.67%
Bulgaria
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 5.14% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.15% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 1.51% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 20.27%