Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Colombia
3 - 2
Romania

Cordoba (6'), Arias (35'), Asprilla (79')
Cordoba (74'), Lerma (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hagi (84'), Tanase (90+3')
Marin (10'), Marin (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Colombia and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Romania

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Romania 1-1 N. Ireland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 43.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Romania had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Romania win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Romania
43.75% ( 0.03)	28.14% ( 0.15)	28.1% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.56% (

-0.58)

60.43% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.43% (

-0.44)

80.57% (

0.44)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

-0.26)

27.46% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

-0.33)

62.94% (

0.33)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.32% (

-0.47)

37.67% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.54% (

-0.46)

74.45% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Colombia 43.75%

Romania 28.1%

Draw 28.13%

Colombia	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.1%