Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Dec 17, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca
Colombia national football team

Mexico
2 - 3
Colombia

Govea (40', 40'), Martinez (50', 50')
Gonzalez (90'), Gonzalez (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Reyes (55', 55'), Martinez (69', 69'), Gomez (90+2', 90+2')
Vera (61'), Vera (61'), Martinez (90+4'), Martinez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 22 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 1-0 Venezuela
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawColombia
47.84% (-0.403 -0.4)27.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08)24.88% (0.317 0.32)
Both teams to score 45.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)59.23% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)79.64% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.22 -0.22)24.85% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-0.308 -0.31)59.44% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.251 0.25)39.78% (-0.25599999999999 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.234 0.23)76.45% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 47.84%
    Colombia 24.88%
    Draw 27.27%
MexicoDrawColombia
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.88%

How you voted: Mexico vs Colombia

Mexico
51.1%
Draw
11.1%
Colombia
37.8%
45
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2022 3am
International Friendly
Mexico
2-3
Colombia
Vega (6' pen.), Arteaga (29')
Sinisterra (49', 52'), Barrios (68')
May 29, 2020 11pm
Friendlies 1
Mexico
P-P
Colombia
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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