/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcollog.png)
-
Omar Govea
40'
-
Omar Govea
40'
-
Guillermo Martinez
50'
-
Guillermo Martinez
50'
-
Bryan Gonzalez
90'
-
Bryan Gonzalez
90'
-
Andres Reyes
55'
-
Andres Reyes
55'
-
Brayan Vera
61'
-
Brayan Vera
61'
-
Roger Martinez
69'
-
Roger Martinez
69'
-
Andres Gomez
90'+2'
-
Andres Gomez
90'+2'
-
Roger Martinez
90'+4'
-
Roger Martinez
90'+4'
Mexico vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Fmexico.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
Result
Mexico
47.84%
▼
(-0.41)
Draw
27.27%
▲
(+0.09)
Colombia
24.88%
▲
(+0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
45.26%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.77%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
59.23%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
20.35%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
79.64%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
8.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
91.46%
▲
(+0.03)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
75.15%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
24.85%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
40.55%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
59.44%
▲
(+0.31)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5
60.22%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
39.78%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
23.55%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
76.45%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Mexico
47.84%
Draw
27.27%
Colombia
24.88%
Mexico
1-0
@
13.76%
▼
(-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.84%
2-0 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.84%
Draw
1-1
@
12.68%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.27%
0-0 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.27%
Colombia
0-1
@
9.11%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.88%